Current hurricane forecasts from National Hurricane Center, and the latest local Kent County weather updates.
Be ready for hurricane season, as residents of Delaware we live in a hurricane evacuation zone.
Make a list of hurricane emergency supply items to replenish and start thinking about how you will prepare your home for the current hurricane season.
The Atlantic hurricane season is June 1st to November 30th.
Monitor SKYWARN weather on: 147.090 (+) 156.7
Kent County ARES/RACES “Primary Simplex” 144.915
Kent County ARES/RACES “Secondary Simplex” 147.510
Hurricane Frequencies
20 meters: 14.325 Mhz – Hurricane Watch Net https://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html
40 meters: 7.268 Mhz – Water Way Net (secondary)
80 meters: 3.815 Mhz – Caribbean Net
Delaware Major Storms 2020 and 2021
A hurricane may not pass directly over Delaware to have devastating effects in our region. Storm surge and severe coastal flooding, high winds, inland flooding, tornadoes, large waves, and rip currents. are just some of the weather events that can be the result of a near miss hurricane. -------------------------- Most of the state south of the C & D Canal the elevation is very low and close to sea-level in some areas. Surrounded by water on three sides makes Delaware vulnerable to storm surge.
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 180504 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Sara, located inland over the southwestern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
- Tropical Depression Sara Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2024 02:36:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2024 03:22:40 GMT
- Tropical Depression Sara Forecast Discussion Number 18
Issued at 900 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 000 WTNT44 KNHC 180233 TCDAT4 Tropical Depression Sara Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192024 900 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 Satellite data and radar images from Sabancuy, Mexico, show a small area of convection persists near and to the west of the estimated low-level center of Sara tonight. Surface observations are sparse in the region, but the circulation is likely still closed given the satellite presentation of the system. Based on available surface wind data, the initial intensity is lowered to 25 kt. Sara is still moving west-northwestward (300/11 kt) and should maintain this heading overnight. Convection associated with Sara is expected to collapse overnight with continued land interaction. Sara should degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low soon and open into a trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. While strong upper-level winds over the western Gulf are expected to inhibit tropical development, the remnant vorticity and moisture could interact with an approaching frontal system and contribute to heavy rainfall along the northern Gulf coast early this week. For more information, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center. In addition, the threat of heavy rainfall, life-threatening flash flooding, and mudslides continues for portions of Central America and southern Mexico. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Across Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, western Nicaragua, and the Mexican State of Quintana Roo, areas of heavy rainfall will continue to cause significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. 2. The heavy rainfall from Tropical Depression Sara is winding down across northern Honduras, however the risk of catastrophic flooding impacts will continue. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/0300Z 18.1N 90.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 18/1200Z 19.3N 92.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
- Tropical Depression Sara Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
Issued at 0300 UTC MON NOV 18 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 180232 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0300 UTC MON NOV 18 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER REINHART
- Tropical Depression Sara Public Advisory Number 18
Issued at 900 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 180232 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Sara Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192024 900 PM CST Sun Nov 17 2024 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 90.7W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sara was located inland near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 90.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion should continue overnight. On the forecast track, the center of Sara will continue to move over the Yucatan Peninsula through Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected, and Sara is forecast to become a remnant low or open into a trough of low pressure by Monday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Tropical Depression Sara can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected over northern Honduras, with storm total amounts locally as high as 40 inches. The risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flooding impacts will continue, especially along and near the Sierra La Esperanza. Across portions of Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, western Nicaragua, and the Mexican State of Quintana Roo, Tropical Storm Sara is expected to produce an additional 3 to 5 inches of rain with localized storm totals around 15 inches. This will result in areas of flash flooding, perhaps significant, along with the potential of mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Sara, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205755.shtml? rainqpf#contents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
GMT time listed above is plus 4 hours from local EDT.
Real time Lightning Map
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Basic Disaster Supplies Kit
1. Water: one gallon per person, per day (3-day supply for evacuation, 2-week supply for home).
2. Food: non-perishable, easy-to-prepare items (3-day supply for evacuation, 2-week supply for home).
3. Flashlight.
4. Portable Ham radios, Car and/or Hand Held – extra batteries for HTs.
5. Battery-powered or hand-crank radio (NOAA Weather Radio, if possible).
6. Extra batteries.
7. First aid kit.
8. Medications (7-day supply) and medical items.
9. Multi-purpose tool, like a Swiss Army knife.
10. Sanitation and personal hygiene items.
11. Copies of personal documents (medication list and pertinent medical information, proof of address, deed/lease to home, passports, birth certificates, insurance policies).
12. Cell phone with charger.
13. Family and emergency contact information.
14. Extra cash (ATMs might be inoperable).
15. Extra fuel for generator and car.
Disaster Preparedness links
Kent County – ARES/RACES Emergency Reference Sheet
Ham Radio: Emergency Communications Guide
State of Delaware: Hurricane Preparedness
National Weather Service (local area) : https://www.weather.gov/
NWS Storm Prediction Center: https://www.spc.noaa.
NOAA Weather Prediction Center (WPC): https://www.wpc.ncep.
NOAA National Hurricane Center: https://www.nhc.noaa.
Department of Homeland Security: Ready.gov : https://
The Outreach Department of The Mesothelioma Center has put together a great guide on what to know about asbestos during natural disasters, including risks associated with hurricane debris and asbestos.
https://www.asbestos.com/